Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 96382.754365 101600.178934 106813.266714 112409.379229 118243.063903 124141.569094 130552.840099
2025-09-14 88124.568640 96133.398080 104355.330016 113416.308389 123110.910316 133161.629114 144358.371494
2025-09-21 81663.538946 91547.363403 101913.992523 113575.952220 126307.467623 139762.435526 155034.581903
2025-09-28 76663.387562 87938.912522 99979.682608 113758.635939 129053.419156 145473.093096 164395.532069
2025-10-05 73674.515696 86198.403701 99779.968337 115550.151308 133302.981748 152614.485568 175153.460280
2025-10-12 70979.891920 84543.481878 99458.140027 117003.469923 137003.132146 159014.001623 184991.622748
2025-10-19 68236.993088 82638.874660 98680.407873 117779.498538 139801.255716 164296.782621 193501.025024
2025-10-26 65436.060035 80503.097586 97490.437386 117944.936540 141783.246167 168562.775840 200790.494942
2025-11-02 63093.245785 78774.605531 96656.410337 118415.087213 144025.948104 173060.199267 208303.247696
2025-11-09 60694.525544 76864.881242 95506.561908 118418.710046 145643.037356 176774.393285 214871.394954
2025-11-16 59149.653974 75898.734724 95402.630428 119596.261210 148592.201804 182011.267548 223210.379231
2025-11-23 57044.026882 74165.027784 94302.992018 119512.794839 149985.602140 185380.349036 229332.361970
2025-11-30 55878.302571 73555.061747 94543.781642 121044.800593 153334.546258 191111.237495 238337.158452
2025-12-07 54513.010911 72645.620176 94377.636692 122050.132379 156032.173798 196070.607425 246453.310145
2025-12-14 52809.747748 71249.910988 93558.249161 122205.224045 157658.703847 199724.251618 253001.805375
2025-12-21 51227.993104 69950.075252 92805.858029 122395.950772 159291.916193 203363.975658 259529.860791
2025-12-28 50558.427260 69782.574711 93442.533071 124297.091833 163026.624186 209564.980240 269199.640384
2026-01-04 49765.361900 69422.182852 93809.073658 125839.528595 166308.141507 215219.808951 278231.143991
2026-01-11 48690.038308 68656.341789 93628.078878 126663.109240 168674.777411 219747.539447 285894.268058
2026-01-18 47381.291833 67542.251665 92964.080838 126838.676632 170201.810972 223225.316356 292264.795211
2026-01-25 46277.781926 66664.601121 92573.682617 127337.620949 172119.162064 227181.584707 299239.177916
2026-02-01 45015.136770 65536.484321 91823.662293 127341.465169 173382.562492 230308.396046 305181.045663
2026-02-08 44330.637868 65164.303705 92043.676861 128591.044599 176235.930081 235439.087900 313660.046603